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Everybody Loves a Scoop!

Everybody loves a scoop, so let’s examine some of the latest developments in the interest rate world.

Of course, unlocking the mystery of when mortgage interest rates will drop is a topic that has left many homeowners and prospective buyers wishing they had a crystal ball. Trust me, Realtors feel that way, too!

While recent developments have brought some cautious optimism that interest rates may decrease, the likelihood of future rate increases from the Fed still remains possible. But, experts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association actually project a decline in the average rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages throughout 2023 and into the first quarter of 2024.

That sounds encouraging.

But what are other experts saying?

The Federal Reserve's signals of a potential pause in rate increases while assessing the impact of previous hikes on inflation have contributed to this hopeful outlook. Peter Idziak, a senior associate at Polunsky Beitel Green, highlights that if the Fed halts rate increases due to weakening economic data and a further decline in inflation, mortgage rates may decrease in the latter part of 2023.

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American Financial Corp, cautions that an interest rate drop may not materialize for several months, possibly extending into 2024. He emphasizes that any decrease would hinge on the Fed's decisions regarding rate increases in the latter half of the year. However, even if rates do decline, they are unlikely to return to the levels of the past. Mortgage rates of around 6% were once considered normal, and it is realistic to expect a similar range in the future.

Adam Sharif, founder and chief strategist of nxtCRE, echoes these sentiments, suggesting that if rates do decrease, it may not be until the following year, and the reduction may be marginal. He emphasizes that today's interest rates are already considered normal when compared to historical measures.

The Takeaway for Homebuyers and Sellers

As the mortgage market continues to evolve, it is crucial for homeowners and potential buyers to stay informed and monitor any developments that may affect interest rates. While a precise timeline for rate drops remains uncertain, being aware of expert projections and market indicators can help individuals make informed decisions regarding their mortgage and housing plans.

I’d love to guide you through the process to meet your personal needs. Let’s chat! 925.407.8822

And if you are interested in learning more about interest rates, read more from CBS News.

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Courtesy of Kelly Gargiulo Pleasant Hill Realtor

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